NASCAR DFS Picks: Federated 400

NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Federated 400

Article Overview:

Welcome to Left Turns – DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS picks write-up at Top Flight Fantasy Sports. Besides this article, we at Top Flight Fantasy Sports have the DraftKings NASCAR Control Tower & FanDuel NASCAR Control Tower putting tons of stats, projections, and proprietary grades in everyone’s hands. We also have a NASCAR DraftKings Optimizer & NASCAR FanDuel Optimizer that will be a huge help with all of the MME this season. And let’s be real about this – NASCAR is an MME sport. I know not everyone can play MME, so below I give you the plays I like best every week. You can use these plays as your core for MME as well.

Federated 400 Race Details:

Track: Richmond Raceway

Type: Short  (1 mile)

Time: Saturday, September 11 @ 7:300 pm EST 

Believe it or not, we’re going to have a very similar article to last week because we’re racing at Richmond and that was a comparison track to our race last week. We don’t have a lot different to look at other than the race last week at Darlington. I’m putting a lot of stock into that race as well as the Richmond race earlier this season. We can also look at Martinsville, Phoenix, and New Hampshire. We have 400 laps in the Federated 400.

Because we have so many laps, we are looking for Dominators in this one, but there’s one driver who really stands out there. We also want to take a look at Place Differential, but that can be tough since playoffs leave the top 16 drivers from the season sitting in the top 16 spots. We do have a couple of options we can look at to help us there though in most price ranges.  Pretty much all of the playoff drivers are drivers you can feel good about playing for the most part.

The Dominators

These are your higher price drivers for NASCAR DFS. Depending on the race, and where they are starting, they are more than likely chalk. 

I’m sticking with Martin Truex Jr this week. He’s easily been the most dominant driver at Richmond in the last 10 races leading over 100 laps in 7 of the last 10 races. He’s starting in 3rd position and with how well he’s been driving in this package, with 3 wins this season, he could be in line to lead more laps and win this one as well.

Denny Hamlin raced great last week pulling out the win at Darlington after not winning at all during the regular season. He will be starting 2nd here this weekend, which is where he started back in April. In that race, Hamlin led 207 laps and still finished 2nd. He’s won here 3 times in his career and could be in line for another.

Chase Elliott is starting back in 13th this weekend, making him a Place Differential play this week. Chase has yet to win at Richmond in his career, but has raced great here overall with a top 10 average finish position in his last 3 races here.

An interesting play this week for me is Kyle Busch as he hasn’t raced great in this package this season, but as a playoff driver and starting 15th, he could be a great Place Differential play for us. He has only finished outside of the top 10 once in his last 10 races and he has the second most lead laps here in those races.

Notes: Larson has raced OK here in the past races, so he’s up for consideration with 5 top 10s in his last 9 here, , but I like these 4 drivers more. I think Logano is a potential lap leader for part of this race as well, and I will probably play more Logano than Larson.

The Contenders

The mid-range drivers for NASCAR DFS. These drivers have top 5 potential and will often see some decent ownership. 

I’m riding with Austin Dillon this week for the Federated 400. He led 55 laps here in 2020 finishing 4th. He followed that race up with a 10th place finish here earlier this season. He has raced well in this package this season and proved it last week finishing 10th at Darlington as well. He’s starting 19th this week making him a decent PD play.

Alex Bowman is starting back in 12th, and after winning here earlier this season, is looking to make it back to back wins. Bowman actually raced well here last season as well with a 9th place finish. He didn;t race well here last week, which I think may keep people off of him. He’s driving the same setup as Hamlin and Truex, so he’s got a chance.

I like Matt DiBenedetto to take advantage of his 28th place start this week and get us some good place differential points. He finished th in the race here back in April, and made up 7 places in the race last weekend. He’s not going to get us a win, but a +10 PD isn’t out of the question.

Ross Chastain has been driving well late in the season. He finished 3rd last week and it wasn’t a fluke after starting 23rd and having a 9th place average position. His worst finish at any of the comparison tracks was 19th and that’s exactly where he starts this week.

The Pack

Your lower tier priced players on both sites. These guys more than likely won’t win the race. Here we will target drivers who will get us points through Place Differential for NASCAR DFS.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. looks to continue his staying on the track at Richmond this week. He has not finished worse than 18th in his last 5 races here. He also finished 17th at Darlington last week, 15th in New Hampshire a few weeks ago, and 12th in Phoenix. He will be starting 17th this weekend and should be able to hang around that position.

Starting in 31st place we have Erik Jones. that makes jones a low end PD play this week, and since there’s not a lot of lower prices punting options this week, he may be our best option for salary relief. He finished 19th here back in April. Jones had car troubles last weekend, but led 2 laps, so his car was running OK for part of the race.

The Yellow Flags 

These are your deep punts – use with caution! They will help you fit the high-price drivers but may not do much more for NASCAR DFS. Minimize their use in your lineups. Do not use in cash!

You may have to, but I don’t like anyone down here really. If I’m forced to pick someone, I’m not going cheaper than Corey LaJoie.

Good luck and have fun but remember that NASCAR is an extremely volatile sport. Never go a full 100% on any driver when playing NASCAR DFS.

Please give us a follow on Facebook, Twitter, and Youtube!

Jeff Talbot

Jeff Talbot writes articles for both NFL & NASCAR. He is a member of the FSWA and is an avid player of all Daily Fantasy Sports. Find him on DraftKings and FanDuel @boottmills. Find him on Twitter @BoottmillsDFS