Welcome to Left Turns – DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS picks write-up at Top Flight Fantasy Sports. Besides this article, we at Top Flight Fantasy Sports have the DraftKings NASCAR Control Tower & FanDuel NASCAR Control Tower putting tons of stats, projections, and proprietary grades in everyone’s hands. We also have a NASCAR DraftKings Optimizer & NASCAR FanDuel Optimizer that will be a huge help with all of the MME this season. And let’s be real about this – NASCAR is an MME sport. I know not everyone can play MME, so below I give you the plays I like best every week. You can use these plays as your core for MME as well.
Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Race Details:
Track: New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Type: Short (~1 mile)
Time: Sunday, July 18 @ 3:00 pm EST
The good ole boys are in my home state of New Hampshire this week for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. We have 301 laps for this race which means we’re looking at a dominator race this week. Traditionally NH is a fairly boring race. Not a ton of action on this flat oval.
We are looking for 2 dominators for the race, and maybe even a 3rd. One who is starting in the front of the pack and the others could be from anywhere in the lineup, but more than likely from the top 20. A fast car can make it to the front, and though there isn’t a lot of passing, place differential is possible for those lucky few drivers. Instead of focusing on Place Differential in this one, I think we should focus more on finishing position, unless there is an obvious name of course. Typically passing is slow and takes a lot of the race to complete.
I’m using data from other NH races for this one and current form as I think it will be the most telling for speed. If you want to look at other track data, I think Richmond is the closest we have this season. We can also look at Darlington, Dover and Nashville.
Just a note, I’m writing this from a campground with zero internet access, so check to see if there are any updates with inspection before the green flag drops.
These are your higher price drivers for NASCAR DFS. Depending on the race, and where they are starting, they are more than likely chalk.
I really like Kyle Busch this week. Kyle is starting the race from the pole and has raced well this season even though it’s been a little quiet. This is the type of race that a driver can start on the pole and keep it the whole time. He has 2 wins here in his last 10 NH races and despite his crash last season has to be the favorite to win this race. He’s also led more laps here than any driver in the last 10 races. He also had top 10 finishes at Nashville, Darlington and Richmond.
Denny Hamlin has been quite consistent at the comp tracks this season finishing 10th in Nashville, 6th at Dover, 4th at Darlington and 2nd at Richmond. Add that to the fact that Hamlin has 5 top 10 finishes and a 13th place in his last 10 makes him a great pick for this week’s race. He’s starting 6th this week and could easily lead laps in this race.
Last driver I like in this price range is Kevin Harvick. Harvick has done great here with 2 wins in the last 3 years. He has top 10 finishes in all of the comp tracks and though he hasn’t raced as we expected, he’s done decent in this package. With his 12th place start, he should be able to make his way forward in this one.
The mid-range drivers for NASCAR DFS. These drivers have top 5 potential and will often see some decent ownership.
The idea of using Joey Logano this week is appealing as his price is great for his 15th place start. His 8 top 10s here in NH overshadow pretty much every driver in the field this year. He also has a top 10 finish at all of the comp tracks this season and has quietly races well all season.
Martin Truex Jr is sitting here in the 2nd position and is someone you should definitely consider for your lineups this week. Truex has been pretty consistent in the last 10 races with 7 top 10s. He also has done well at the comp tracks with a win at Darlington and a 4th place finish at Richmond. If you’re looking at FanDuel, Truex is really expensive, but he’s priced nicely on DraftKings.
After seeing how Kurt Busch has driven the last few weeks, and his win last week, I think he’s someone else we can consider this week. He’s starting the race from the 4th position meaning he can easily lead some laps if it goes his way. He has 4 top 10 finishes here and though he doesn’t done so well at the comp tracks, his front start makes him a nice pick this week.
I really like Christopher Bell at New Hampshire, and if you’ve followed him at all before the jump to the Cup Series last season you’d know that this is one of his best tracks to race on. Bell starts 9th, and is priced really low for this week. I think he is a nice salary relief option to play in this range.
Aric Almirola is the last driver I like in this price range, and that could be a surprise to most. Almirola is sitting in a good price range. Despite the troubles he’s had this season his team seemed to start turning things around. He does have a decent recent history here with 3 finishes in the top 11 since 2018. He did have a 6th place finish in Nashville and a 12th at Richmond to go along with it.
Your lower tier priced players on both sites. These guys more than likely won’t win the race. Here we will target drivers who will get us points through Place Differential for NASCAR DFS.
I’m going Ricky Stenhouse Jr this week in New Hampshire. He hasn’t raced well here until last season when he finished 14th. Stenhouse has raced really well this season and made it a point to avoid wrecks. I love his 29th starting position, but I really like that he finished 6th in Nashville and a top 20 in Dover and Richmond.
Another driver I like down here is Cole Custer. Custer has an 8th place finish in his only cup race at NHMS. He’s not going to blow the field away, but I think he hangs out in the low 20’s thru high teens. He’s starting 21st, so it’s not going to be a high PD play, but could help you fit in some of the higher priced drivers.
I’m going with Old Man Ryan Newman today too. Newman has had a bit of a down year from what I was hoping, but he is starting 28th. I feel he could at least stick around at that spot. He’s also not going to win this race, but he should definitely be able to make a couple moves. He’s had respectable finishes at all of the comparison tracks as well. Before last season he had a run of 3 top 10 finishes at NHMS.
Note: If I’m Playing FanDuel, Daniel Suarez is a great value pick, but he’s priced a lot higher on DraftKings. If you can afford to fit him in on DK once you have the rest of your lineup, you can play him.
The Yellow Flags
These are your deep punts – use with caution! They will help you fit the high-price drivers but may not do much more for NASCAR DFS. Minimize their use in your lineups. Do not use in cash!
Not feeling using anyone down here really this week. I’d probably take a flier on Corey Lajoie on DraftKings. No need to punt on FanDuel.
Good luck and have fun but remember that NASCAR is an extremely volatile sport. Never go a full 100% on any driver when playing NASCAR DFS.