The Triple T: Tim’s Top Three
Welcome back to the 2021 MLB DFS season! As many of you know, MLB DFS is all about stacking so it only makes sense to focus on that in this article. I will list my favorite plays within each stack to make it easier to build a lineup from the recommendations. There may be more guys on team that can be used and salary will certainly dictate that, but the guys I list are my favorites within that team and can be mixed and matched. When we “stack”, that traditionally means that we play 3 to 5 guys from a particular team so that we can have exposure among multiple players throughout that lineup of the runs generated. Stacking could come in the form of a 5/3 stack (five players from one team and 3 from another), a 4/4, or even a 5/2/1 or 4/3/1. My personal favorite is a 3/3/2 as it allows me to get exposure to three of my favorite teams on a slate.
We should note that this MLB DFS season will play a little different then previous seasons as Covid-19 has made for an abbreviated year last year which could change how starting pitchers are used THIS season, how lineups and substitutions are managed, as well as the virus still being around, leading to positive tests and causing players to quarantine. Regardless, I am just happy to have the sport back and it should be a lot of fun. Tread lightly for the first couple weeks as we see how things are shaking out and we get a solid data set to work off!
Use these MLB plays along with your own research! Remember, this is a GPP-style article (outside of the cash cores) so I take some more chances than others. The format for this article is not set in stone so if there is something you want to see or would like me to consider changing, please let me know. After all, this site is for YOU. Let’s dive in!
*Be sure to compare with your own research from our incredible MLB DFS matchup tool!
Any changes or edits will be marked in Red – check back before lock!
Boom-or-bust: Ray, McCullers
Notes: This slate is incredibly deep with pitching so while I only have three listed, I am interested in many more. The others I’m interested in do have tougher matchups (Peralta, Eovaldi, Cease, Bassitt, etc) so I will limit my recommendations to the above while those guys in parenthesis are more tourney multi-entry plays. Wood is just simply too cheap on Fanduel to not lock into the majority of your lineups there. Ray is the true definition of a boom-or-bust guy and the Phillies are rolling out a horrendous lineup without Harper and Realmuto. He is allowing a ton of hard contact and flyball rate to righties but that may not be an issue today with that lineup that Philly is rolling out.
Top MLB Team Stacks (both sites, no order)
– I am going to list my preferred player stack, but these aren’t the only guys I would use as there may be some others that offer us salary relief.
– Yankees (Judge/Stanton/Torres/Voit/Hicks) – Plutko is opening for the Orioles in what figures to be a bullpen game for them. The Jays are my top stack of the day but I think thats the case for a lot of people which could cause a team like the Yanks to go underowned.
– Toronto (Guerrero/Bichette/Hernandez/Semien/Grichuk) – Going to be the most popular stack of the day, by far, against Chase Anderson.
– Red Sox (Bogaerts/Martinez/Gonzalez/Chavis/Verdugo) – Quintana hasn’t been awful so I am hesitant about this stack but they have been one of the best teams to lefties over the last month and Quintana is having serious control issues.
Top Boom-or-Bust Stacks
These are stacks that I anticipate will be lower owned but have huge potential. They are usually all-or-nothing stacks that we play shooting for a tourney takedown
– Giants (Tauchman/ Yaz/Belt/Posey/Crawford) – Should be the second or third most popular stack. Keller is not good, but particularly bad to lefties (5.47xfip) and the Giants can roll out some good ones.
– Oakland (Olson/Lowrie/Chapman/Canha/Brown) – This one is a little bit of a reach but that is what I go for in this section. Maeda has been really bad over his last few starts and one of those was already against Oakland. Maeda allowed one barrel over his first three starts but a whopping NINE over his last four. 9 barrels is more than a lot of pitchers on this slate have the entire season.
– White Sox (Abreu/Moncada/Eaton/Grandal) – Singer has been really good this season but he can be had against lefties and the White Sox come in as one of the better teams to righties over the last month.
Top One-Off Plays
– Hoskins, Phi
– Olson, Oak
– Judge, NYY
Cash Game Foundation
*Since hedging your tourneys with cash games is extremely important in these daily sports like MLB, we have decided to include a cash game (double ups, 50/50’s) section at the bottom of our MLB DFS articles this season. These guys will be my foundation for cash games. I will focus mainly on where I think ownership will be and solid floors more so than who the actual “best” play at the position will be. Some guys have very high ceilings suited best for GPP while also having low floors not ideal for cash games. It is imperative that we play ownership in cash as we just need to beat half the field in these games rather than finish first. We want to pay close attention to where the field is going so if we have a bust at high ownership it doesn’t bury us. I love tourneys because they give me a chance to take some risks, but we want to play it safe in double-ups so I use my cash games to maybe eat some chalk that I may not be particularly high on because, again, we want to play ownership in cash.
***will make an update here at 6:00pm! ***
FD Cash Core: Wood, Guerrero, Bichette, JD Martinez
Other cash plays: Chavis, Boagerts, Belt, Crawford, Olson, Judge, Stanton
DK Cash core: I expect pitcher ownership pretty spread here so he may not be the highest owned but I like Wood the best followed by Ynoa. Gary Sanchez, Vlad Guerrero
Other DK Cash: Judge, Martinez, Bogaerts, Bichette, Belt, Chavis, Ohtani, Renfroe
As always, remember to make sure these players are indeed in the lineup, that weather is okay, and keep an eye on Vegas odds. Don’t forget that baseball is by far the highest variance sport but by truly digging in to the numbers and turning over every stone, we can mitigate that variance. Please follow Top Flight Fantasy Sports on Twitter and Facebook if you haven’t already and good luck!