NASCAR DFS Picks: Toyota Owners 400

NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Toyota Owners 400

Article Overview:

Welcome to Left Turns -NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel write-up at Top Flight Fantasy Sports. Besides this article, we at Top Flight Fantasy Sports have the DraftKings NASCAR Control Tower & FanDuel NASCAR Control Tower putting tons of stats, projections, and proprietary grades in everyone’s hands. We also have a NASCAR DraftKings Optimizer & NASCAR FanDuel Optimizer that will be a huge help with all of the MME this season. And let’s be real about this – NASCAR is an MME sport. I know not everyone can play MME, so below I give you the plays I like best every week. You can use these plays as your core for MME as well.

Food City Dirt Race Details:

Track: Richmond Raceway

Type: Short (3/4 Mile) Flat

Time: Sunday, April 18, 2021 @ 3:00 pm EST 

Very similar race to last week where we are looking for dominators. We will want at least 2 in our lineups, and those drivers should be mostly from the top 12 starting positions. There could be some exceptions in this with some of our drivers who are starting further back making their way to the top who could also dominate. We will fill out the rest of our lineup with value drivers in good equipment and have shown the ability to race well on this track type.

We can look at previous Richmond races for sure to help us with our strategys for this race. Phoenix and Martinsville are similar tracks in track type and package perspective. If you feel you need more information, Louden races from the past will also match up close with this track type. Current form is important as well since the season is only 1/4 of the way through.

The Dominators

These are your higher price drivers for NASCAR DFS. Depending on the race, and where they are starting, they are more than likely chalk. 

No surprises here in this group.  Martin Truex Jr. has really raced great at Richmond in recent history, winning twice and finishing 2nd in his last 3. He’s also led 400 more laps than any other driver here in the last 10 races. Winning at both Phoenix and Martinsville make him tough to ignore. Truex Jr. is going to start on the pole meaning he and Denny Hamlin, who is starting 2nd, give us the best chance to lead laps from the green flag.

Denny Hamlin has 8 top 10 finishes with a win in his last 10 Richmond races. He’s aso led a good amount of laps here in the past, and has an average 6th place finish in those races. He’s only finished outside of the top 5 once so far this season, and finished 3rd at both of the comp tracks.

Joey Logano has race well for much of the season so far, with 5 top 10 finishes to date. 2 of those were a 2nd at Phoenix and a 6th at Martinsville. His history here is decent with an almost identical 10 races to Hamlin. He starts from the 5th position at Richmond.

The amount of speed Kyle Larson has had in his car this season is something that can’t be ignored. He impressed me last week making his way up to the front at Martinsville finishing 5th after starting back at 19th, and also finishing 7th at Phoenix. His history here is good with a win a few years ago and 5 top 10s in his last 9 races.

The most interesting driver in this group has to be Brad Keselowski. Kes is starting back in 20th. Paying this much for him is not so bad. He’s got a ton of place differential upside, and he’s also the type of driver who can lead laps. They’ll come later in the race, and could even lead to a win. He’s someone I recommend playing in your cash lineups for sure, and a great GPP play as well.

The Contenders

The mid-range drivers for NASCAR DFS. These drivers have top 5 potential and will often see some decent ownership. 

I think my favorite driver in this price range this weekend is Christopher Bell. Bell is starting 8th, and that puts him in range to potentially lead some laps. My hope here is that his ownership is low because of his race here last year where he only finished 15th. This is one of Bell’s best Xfinity tracks where he has really dominated. In 5 Xfinity Richmond races, he won 3 of them, leading a ton of laps in the process. He also finished 9th in Phoenix and 7th at Martinsville.

If you have the money to spend aup a bit in this group, you could definitely look at Chase Elliott. Elliott is starting 3rd, which puts him right at the front with lead lap potential. He finished 5th at Richmond on his way to winning the cup last season and also finished 5th at Phoenix and 2nd last week in Martinsville.

Austin Dillon has said in the past that this is his favorite track, and that showed last season when he finished 4th and led 55 laps. He also finished 6th here in 2019. Dillon starts this one from the 11th spot, allowing for a little bit of PD potential, and maybe some lead laps again.

Austin Cindric is priced really high on DraftKings this week, but should be highly owned, and is a great cash play on both sites. He’s starting back in 38th for the race, and is going to give us a lot of PD points with his speed and driving capabilities. Cindric has good Xfinity history here as well as at Phoenix and Martinsville.

I really like that Alex Bowman is starting back far enough to give us some good PD. He was racing well last weekend in Martinsville before he wrecked, and raced pretty good at Phoenix also. Bowman had his first top 10 finish here last year.

The Pack

Your lower tier priced players on both sites. These guys more than likely won’t win the race. Here we will target drivers who will get us points through Place Differential for NASCAR DFS.

I’m recommending Ryan Newman this week. He finished 5th and 9th here back in 2019. Last year was tough with him still mentally recovering from the Daytona wreck, and he looks to be focused this season. He’s starting 19th.

I have some interest in Ricky Stenhouse Jr. this week. He’s starting 14th, which is about where I think he will end the race as well. Wrecky has raced well this season, actually finishing every race to this point. He also finished 12th at Phoenix and 15th at Martinsville.

I have a feeling that this could be a decent race for Daniel Suarez. He’s starting 27th, but has raced well here in the past on a couple of occasions. Suarez started Phoenix 27th as well and turned it into a 21st place finish and was racing well in Martinsville before the crash.

The Yellow Flags 

These are your deep punts – use with caution! They will help you fit the high-price drivers but may not do much more for NASCAR DFS. Minimize their use in your lineups. Do not use in cash!

Corey LaJoie is the lowest I’m likely to spend on DraftKings this weekend. I probably won’t go that low on FanDuel if I can help it.

 

Good luck and have fun but remember that NASCAR is an extremely volatile sport. Never go a full 100% on any driver.


Please give us a follow on Facebook, Twitter, and Youtube!


Avatar

Jeff Talbot

Jeff Talbot writes articles for both NFL & NASCAR. He is a member of the FSWA and is an avid player of all Daily Fantasy Sports. Find him on DraftKings and FanDuel @boottmills. Find him on Twitter @BoottmillsDFS