Welcome to Left Turns – The NASCAR DFS picks write-up at Top Flight Fantasy Sports. Besides this article, we at Top Flight Fantasy Sports have the DraftKings NASCAR Control Tower & FanDuel NASCAR Control Tower putting tons of stats, projections, and proprietary grades in everyone’s hands. We also have a NASCAR DraftKings Optimizer & NASCAR FanDuel Optimizer that will be a huge help with all of the MME this season. And let’s be real about this – NASCAR is an MME sport. I know not everyone can play MME, so below I give you the plays I like best every week. You can use these plays as your core for MME as well.
Food City Dirt Race Details:
Track: Bristol Dirt Track
Type: Short Steep Dirt
Time: Sunday, March 28, 2021 @ 3:30 pm EST
I’m going to be completely honest with you guys, we have very little to go on for this race as the Cup series hasn’t raced on dirt in 50 years. Pretty much all of the drivers in this race have raced on dirt in some form in their careers, but not with a car package featured this week. There’s one thing to know about dirt that you need to keep in mind over anything…it’s unpredictable. The heat races and the truck race being cancelled really hurt us this weekend.
This is a mid tier race when it comes to leaning toward a dominator or Place Differential. We have 250 laps in this one so we can try and find a minimum of 2 lap leaders. We want drivers who ran well on Saturday who will start further back to help us on the PD side. Practice is helpful, but qualifying was rained out, so we are stuck with a formula again. There are some pricing discrepancies we can take advantage of between the sites. We can look at the tracks with heavier tire wear.
These are your higher price drivers for NASCAR DFS. Depending on the race, and where they are starting, they are more than likely chalk.
Christopher Bell fits here on both sites this week and should be one of the higher owned drivers based off of his dirt racing experience. He won the Chili Bowl Midget Nationals 3 years in a row from 2017-2019. He’s also raced at Eldora winning the race there back in 2015. He’s starting 15th in this one, and had some really good practice times.
Over on Draftkings, Tyler Reddick is priced way up here. He has a lot of dirt track history racing 3 times at Eldora and I’ve heard his name mentioned a lot from other drivers as someone who could make an impact in this race. He’s going to be starting 27th, so he’s a PD play for sure. I’ll mention him again in “The Pack” as he’s priced in that range on FanDuel and should be played there.
I think Chase Elliott is an interesting option because he is starting back in 26th. He had 6th and 7th fastest practice speeds on Friday and that translates to a huge place differential potential. He raced at the Chili Bowl this year and was trying to get as much dirt racing under his belt with the late models here but he had car troubles that cut his racing short.
Kyle Larson is going to the back to start this race due to an engine change. He is starting from the 1st position and will have to work his way to the front to make an impact. Hes playable, as anything can happen on dirt, but I’ll be light on him. Had he maintained his starting position he would have been the favorite to win.
Also want to note that Ryan Blaney has raced at Eldora in the past, and while he doesn’t have a ton of dirt track experience, his father is Dave Blaney who won the Chili Bowl in 1993. Blaney had the fastest speed in the 2nd practice.
The mid-range drivers for NASCAR DFS. These drivers have top 5 potential and will often see some decent ownership.
I’m recommending Kyle Busch this week, which I haven’t done much this season so far. Kyle Busch races better with practice, plain and simple. This week he drove 121 laps in practice putting him as the 6th most of all drivers this friday. He had top 10 speeds in both of them with top 3 speed in the first practice.
Chase Briscoe has tons of dirt racing under his belt in his short career. He’s raced and won at Eldora and I think he’s gotta be one of the favorites here. He is starting 25th and had 10th and 5th fastest practice speed.
Denny Hamlin is starting 2nd and will be the first across the starting line with the Larson penalty. Hamlin doesn’t have much in the way of dirt racing, but he had 4th and 3rd fastest practice speeds on Friday. He also races well at high tire wear tracks.
Alex Bowman really impressed in practice with a 1st and 2nd speed. He has dirt racing experience having won the USAC Midget championship and the California Dirt Focus Midget Championship in 2008. Bowman also has raced in the Chili Bowl. He starts 7th and could lead som laps this weekend.
Stewart Friesen is a big name for dirt track racing, but I have concerns about his practice speeds. He knows how to drive on a track like this and starting 32nd would be great for PD. I think his car is going to hinder him from making a big impact. I’ll be light on him.
Austin Dillon is a dirt track guy, but his practice speeds not being able to break the top 25 are really concerning for a driver starting 9th. He’s playable, but beware of the risk.
Your lower tier priced players on both sites. These guys more than likely won’t win the race. Here we will target drivers who will get us points through Place Differential for NASCAR DFS.
I’m not afraid of going back to the Chris Buescher well this week. Buescher has dirt experience in ARCA, winning a dirt race in that series. He also races well at the heavy tire wear tracks. He’s starting 11th.
Ryan Newman also has a bunch of dirt track experience, but it isn’t something he’s done in about 20 years. He won the first Eldora race and I think he could still be helpful to us starting fro the 14th spot.
I mentioned Tyler Reddick in the contenders due to his price on DraftKings, but he’s a huge play here on FanDuel as his experience could lead to a big win here.
The Yellow Flags
These are your deep punts – use with caution! They will help you fit the high-price drivers but may not do much more for NASCAR DFS. Minimize their use in your lineups. Do not use in cash!
I don’t like any of the punts this week, as the “ringers” we have pushed all of them to a higher starting spot.
Good luck and have fun but remember that NASCAR is an extremely volatile sport. Never go a full 100% on any driver.