Track: Dover International Speedway
Type: Short (1 mile)
Time: Sunday 2:30pm EST
Keys to this week:
We’re back in Dover this week for the Drydyne 400. This week we have a true 400 laps making this one of the better dominator races in the playoffs. We are in the next phase of the playoffs as well, so no one is guaranteed to move on at this point and all of the drivers will be racing to win.
The Miracle Mile as the track is known was raced using this package earlier this season. We had 2 dominators in that race, and both of them started in the top 15. I anticipate that this race could be similar. We want to look at practices and current form when selecting our drivers for this week.
Weather by Chris Rothar
Dover International Speedway
It will be cloudy with temperatures in the mid 70’s for Sunday’s race. I’m sure driving with no sun glare will be nice.
12k+ guys (FD) 10k+ guys (DK), listed in order as I like them.
Harvick comes into Dover this week with some great races here. He has a 4th place finish earlier this season, and a 6th and a 1st last season. In his 6th place finish last fall, he lead 286 laps. In his last 10 races here he led more than half of the laps here in four of them. He was racing well in Charlotte last week and has been racing well over the last 4 races with an average 6th place running position. He’s going to be starting 4th here so it puts him in a good spot to move ahead and dominate again.
Starting in the front row is a huge advantage at Dover and Larson will be starting 2nd. He had great practice times this weekend and that translated to a great qualifying spot. He has raced decently here in the past, with 8 top 10 finishes in his last 10 races here, including a 3rd place finish earlier this season. For some reason he is priced down on DraftKings, making him a great play there this week at his price.
Chase Elliott was one of our Dover dominators earlier this spring leading 145 laps and won here last fall. He overall has 7 races here and top 5 finishes in 6 of them. Starting in the top 5 gives him another boost as he can get to the front to dominate again this week. He showed top 5 practice speeds this weekend and has been fast in general, winning last weeks road race.
8-12k guys (FD) / 7-10k guys (DK), listed in order as I like them.
Hamlin is priced down this week on FanDuel, landing him here this week. He has a good track history with 5 top 10 finishes in his last 10 Dover races. He’ll be starting on the pole this week, making him a favorite to lead laps. It’s the main reason why he makes the list this week. Recently he won the race in Bristol, another short track with a ton of laps, after sitting on the pole to start.
Byron is one of my favorite drivers this week. He finished 8th here earlier this season. That’s not tremendously impressive alone, but it was his second top 10 finish this season and since then he has accumulated 11 top 10 finishes this season, including 3 in his last 4 races. I feel he has his first win in him soon, and this is a perfect race for him to it in.
Suarez has 5 races in Dover in his short career, but 4 of those ended with him finishing in the top 10. That other race where he didn’t finish top 10, he finished 11th. He’s starting a bit further back than I like, but I think that may give us some PD points we can put toward him instead of Dominator points.
Your low – mid tier priced players on both sites, listed in order as I like them. Use as needed.
MDB has been sort of a fixture here this season, and this week is no different. He had a 6th place speed in his 2nd practice and seems poised to improve on his 20th starting position. He’s purely a PD play for me this week, as I don’t think he has the speed to win or dominate this race for long if at all. I do think he has enough speed to move up however.
The Yellow Flags
These are your deep punts – use with caution! They will help you fit the high priced drivers, but may not do much more. There should be no need to use any of these guys on FanDuel.