Wyndham Championship – PGA Picks
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Essential Stat Categories: Driving Accuracy, Birdie or Better %, Birdie Average
Mile High Overview
The Wyndham Championship is the last PGA Tour Event prior to the FedEx Cup Playoffs making their August debut. I’ve really enjoyed this new tour schedule this year, as its provided great golf to watch on a very consistent basis. So this week we need to pay attention to guys sitting on the outside of the FedEx Cup Top 120 who are in the field. The Top 120 in rankings make the final cut for the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
It’s also worth noting, though may not be valid, that guys who are up very high in the rankings could finish dead last this weekend and still not fall out of the playoffs. However there are certain guarantees in the playoffs that these players can achieve by finishing higher, so they will have some incentives.
As far as Sedgefield, my research of it is telling me you need to be super accurate off the tee, and you have to be able to score, because scores will be low overall.
Roster Construction Thoughts
I’ve looked over the pricing on both sites, and I gotta be honest, this seems like a solid week for a stars and scrubs approach. There are some guys who are good plays that are simply too cheap, lots of guys in the mid tier with bust potential, and the guys highest priced are truly the best plays this week.
Top Flight Picks
Be Sure to check out our PGA Rankings for custom grades, stats, and more.
Hole in One:
My pick to win this weeks’ PGA Tour Event
This one surely won’t be unpopular. Everyone is talking about Webb this week, he’s the best golfer overall in this field, is fresh off an amazing set of performances, and is from North Carolina (your “narrative” for the week). Look I’m a huge Webb Simpson fan, he’s got a very balanced game, can go as low as anyone on tour, and is usually underpriced weekly. This week he’s the most expensive golfer on both sites…which is a little worrisome, but I simply can’t see him busting this weekend. Listening to an interview from last weekend he’s very excited to play here this week and is viewing it as his best tune up for the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
He’s got tons of accuracy, has a great scoring average, and can go very low at times. Lots to like here. He’s also going to be a core cash play.
Excellent Picks, hopeful top 5’s
Colin Morikawa / Lucas Glover / Brandt Snedeker
Let’s start with my favorite up and coming phenom on tour, Colin Morkawa. He’s fresh off a win at the Barricuda Championship last weekend (the lesser tourney no one was watching or paying attention to). He’s just constantly racking up high finishes weekly, and I think he’ll do it again here. Listening to him, he sounds like a 10 year vet on tour, he seems wise beyond his years out there, and has all the natural talents to match it. He’s second in this field with 4.6 birdies per round, a super high number topped only by Doc Redman (more about him later). I could easily see Morikawa being a winner this week. When I talked above about stars and scrubs, he was part of my plan. I plan to pair him and Webb quite a bit this week.
Lucas Glover is our highest graded golfer this weekend, and is having himself quite an awesome bounce back season. Glover has 3 straight top 20 finishes in his form, and 2 top 30 finishes over the last 3 years on this course. His scoring average of 69.882 ranks 4th best in this field. He’s just a rock solid play, and I actually expect him to go a little underowned this weekend.
Brandt Snedeker is the only one of these 3 who gives me some cause for concern and/or doubt. He won this tourney last year in a pretty dominating fashion, and he also finished 3rd here 3 years ago. He’s obviously very comfortable on this course, however a glance as his recent form gives me tons of cause for concerns. He’s all over the place, some great scores and some really bad ones. His birdie average is also way lower this season than I’d like it to be, so I have a lot to be worried about. I am a course history truther though, and think sometimes all a guy needs in order to play better is a course they love.
Solid picks, hopeful top 10 finishes, outside chance of winning this weeks PGA Tour Event
Billy Horschel / Sungjae Im / Matthew Wolff
If we remove The Open from his form, Billy Ho is looking rock solid. Considering that’s a links golf course, which has never fit his game, I’m okay looking past that. He’s another guy who can go low, score in bunches, and compete to win the whole thing. He’s got some decent history at this course, and sports a pretty decent driving accuracy of 63%.
Im is just like Billy, if you remove The Open, his recent form is just on fire. He also averages over 4 birdies per round, and a scoring average of 70.319. Both are near the top of this field.
Wolff gets a lot of attention for his unique swing, but ultimately his driving accuracy right now is only about 56%, so he probably can’t sustain that success too long. But somehow, in spite of that, he keeps racking up higher end finishes. He has a super high 4.24 birdie average, so that’s what we like here this weekend. Plus his recent form is just flat out awesome.
Aiming to hit the Top 25. Goal here isn’t to give you more expensive guys who are obvious, we want affordable guys who can hit top 25’s in this weeks PGA Tour Event
Doc Redman / Dylan Frittelli / Ryan Armour
I said about Colin Morkawa being 2nd in the field in Birdie Average above, to no one else but Doc Redman. The guy can flat out score. He’s really not that great of a golfer, will probably bogey alot as well, but in showdowns Redman can definitely be a play.
Dylan Frittelli is peaking right now, he won the John Deere a few weeks ago, he was in the top of the leaderboard at The Open the week after that. Now’s a good time to do the ole “Grab it while its hot” with him. He’s on fire right now, and I’d expect that to continue this week. He’s very solid off the tee accuracy wise, so I can’t see him getting himself into a ton of trouble here.
Armour is bound to be a very popular cheaper pick and possible cash play this weekend. He’s pounded out back to back Top 10’s on this course. Easy pick for the price.
Roster filling mid tier guys who probably won’t finish top 10 or maybe even top 25 but can help you win.
Martin Laird / Nick Watney / Andrew Landry
I’m a really big fan of Watney and Landry’s price this weekend, I think they’re great punts that give you high end upside for a cheap price. I don’t know what Nick Watney has to do to get some respect.
Guys I’d only take a small GPP Flyer on, have a good possibility of busting and missing the cut. Consider this your “punts” section, if you’re trying to jam in high dollar guys, these are some cheapies who could save your day.
Nick Taylor / Sam Ryder / Corey Conners / Charlie Danielson