Track: Michigan International Speedway
Type: Superspeedway (2.0 miles)
Time: Sunday, 2:00 pm EST on FOX
Keys to this week:
Welcome to Michigan International Speedway, where NASCAR drivers will race in the FireKeepers Casino 400. Last week the Drivers felt that they couldn’t pass much in the race in Pocono. Michigan is another long track and that could be possible again, but I think you will see faster cars starting 10-25 possibly being able to move up. With qualifying being single car, it gives us more of a perspective on how fast the cars actually are in this package. We can use that information and the practices times and 10 lap averages to determine who we want to use. Fontana is the closest track to Michigan in regards to style using this package this season so we can look there for our current form as well as last weeks race in Pocono. Recent history won’t be as important for this race. With only 200 laps available, this is less a dominator race, but picking the dominator may help you lock it up!
If you like to pick using narratives – The Stewart-Haas Racing team lost one of their members in a motorcycle accident. They all have super fast cars in practice and qualifying. I’m not a fan of narratives in DFS… but NASCAR seems to be one of those sports.
Weather by Chris Rothar
Michigan International Speedway
Cloudy with scattered showers throughout the afternoon. Temperatures will be in the low 70’s.
12k+ guys (FD) 10k+ guys (DK), listed in order as I like them.
Harvick will be starting from the 3rd spot in Michigan right behind his teammate Aric Almirola. While his first practice placed him 23rd, he had a 4th place ten lap average in that run. 2nd practice was drastically improved with a top finish and another 4th place ten lap average. I’m not going to put a ton into a rain shortened race, but did finish 1st in his last race here after starting 3rd. He’s definitely not a stranger to leading laps at this track, but he has had some bad luck with this package. I think this race will be different and being a Stewart-Haas driver will play into that.
Martin Truex Jr.
MTJ had a tough race in Pocono with a blown engine after winning the Coca-cola 600 the week before. This week he’s starting in the middle of the pack at the 16 spot. Normally in a race like this I wouldn’t consider him, but he’s won 4 of his last 7 races this season. He’s also lead more laps than anyone else in those races. He had 13th and 9th place finishes in practices with 9th and 5th ten lap averages. I think a top 10 finish is likely and he has a good chance of finishing in the top 5.
Elliott will be starting the race in Michigan from the 17th spot, which will put him in line for some decent differential points. his practice speeds are a little lower than I would like to see with a 17th and 13th finish, but he’s done something that’s really impressive over the last 10 races…He has 7 top 5 finishes. He’s racing really well with this package and barring any issues I can see him moving into the top 10 easily with another top 5 finish possible. He’s also raced here in the past. I’m definitely going to have some exposure!
I was questioning if I was going to write up Kyle Busch this week, but when you have the best driver in the sport starting in the 15th spot you need to consider it. There’s some decent position differential available with a 15th starting position in Michigan. He should be able to move up here and he has the 11th and 2nd practice finishes to prove it. He has 5 top 5 finishes in his last 10 races, and this could very well be another one for him.
Joey Logano is super cheap on DraftKings, and he’s going to be starting on the pole. He could stay there all race, but I think it’s unlikely. He’ll be in line for a top 10 though.
8-12k guys (FD) / 7-10k guys (DK), listed in order as I like them.
Bowyer has been racing pretty well this season, with 4 top 5 and 6 top 10 finishes in his last 10 races. He’ll be starting in the 5 spot in Michigan, and he’ll have a couple of teammates starting above him in 2nd and 3rd. He’s had a really fast car so far this weekend with a 2nd and 3rd in practice this weekend so far. His ten lap averages in those practices were 1st and 8th, so he should continue to keep pace with the front of the pack. He falls into the Stewart-Haas narrative as well.
A lot of what I am seeing in Bowyer this week is why I also like his other teammate Daniel Suarez. He had a 1st and 4th practice finishes this weekend and his ten lap averages were 6th and 1st. Suarez will be starting from the 9th spot in this race and will also fall under the same narrative that Bowyer and Harvick do. I like him to maintain his position for this race.
Erik Jones finished 3rd last week after having some difficulties in Charlotte the week before when he wrecked 22 laps into the race. It put a sour taste in the mouth of many last week, but he showed them he was over it. He’ll be starting in the 14th spot here in Michigan and with his 6th and 7th place finishes in practice this weekend, I see him making the move into the top 10.
Your low – mid tier priced players on both sites, listed in order as I like them. Use as needed.
Buescher is in this spot this week because he’s starting in the 31st position. He’s got decent speed this week and has been one of the better drivers in his price range this season. He’s done well at making up some position differential in most of his races, and he doesn’t have much lower to go than here if it were to go bad.
The Yellow Flags
These are your deep punts – use with caution! They will help you fit the high priced drivers, but may not do much more. I don’t see a need to use any of these drivers on FanDuel to make your lineups.
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