The Triple T: Tim’s Top Three – 5/12 – FanDuel and DraftKings MLB Advice

For those unfamiliar with my article, I will be listing my three favorite players at each position – two of my favorite higher-priced guys and my favorite “value” play, which will be denoted with a star “*”. As it relates to that value play, I am using Fanduel players priced around $3000 on that site as a gauge, but the plays can be applied to both sites. Please note that these are not the only plays I like, but I can’t list everyone and truly try to narrow down the field as much as possible. Use these plays along with your own resesrch! The format for this article is not set in stone so if there is something you want to see or would like me to consider changing, please let me know. After all, this site is for YOU! Let’s dive in!

*Be sure to compare with your own research from our incredible matchup tool!

A star (*) denotes the “value” or lower tier play at each position.

TOP THREE

Pitcher:
Snell
Perez
*value: Canning/Means (WATCH WEATHER)

Boom-or-bust: Giolito

Notes: Pitching depends on the weather today. I LOVE Smith and Thor today, and they would be in the spots where Snell and Perez currently are but their game looks like it has a great chance of being postponed so I left them off. Snell is expensive and has been a roller coaster this season, but he gets the Yanks today who have the 9th worst wOBA and 7th lowest ISO to lefties and are striking out at a 24% clip to Southpaws. If you want a tad cheaper, Martin Perez has reinvented himself this season. He used to be a guy that we would look to pick on, but not this season. His velocity has increased almost 2mph from his career average and he has been pretty tough to righties, something that has plagued him throughout his career. I think he has a good shot at continuing his success today against a Tigers squad that DOES have a couple guys that hit lefties well, but as a whole, sport the 6th highest K rate to lefties. I really like both Canning and Means and will probably have some shares of Canning if that game looks like it will be played. Rothar says it is a delay and then play, so I will roll with that for now. Giolito provides a ton of risk, but a ton of upside in this matchup. His K/9 this year sits at a whopping 11.03, almost 2 more than his career mark! To top it off, he gets a Toronto team that holds the 4th worst wOBA to righties while carrying a 25% K rate to them.

Catcher (DK-centric):
Realmuto
Astudillo
Value*: Stassi

Notes: It is Sunday so make sure these guys are in the lineup as it is a popular day for catchers resting.

 

1st Base:
Bell
Goldschmidt
* value: Cron

Notes: Josh Bell and the Pirates lefties are one of my favorite under-the-radar stacks today as they get Dakota Hudson who simply can’t get lefties out. To lefties, Hudson is allowing a crazy .787 slugging, 46% hard contact and an eye-popping 512 wOBA. He has allowed an insane 8 homers in 14 innings to lefties so far and if that continues today, it will be a fruitful day for Pitt. Cron and the Twins are another favorite of mine squaring off against Daniel Norris and an awful Tigers pen. Cron has a great .409 wOBA and .429 ISO to lefties so far this season and is too cheap on both sites but particularly on DK.

2nd Base:
Altuve (if in)
Merrifield
Chavis
*Frazier

Notes: Added another option here in case Altuve is out again. If he is in, he is in a good spot against Adrian Sampson who is allowing the second highest hard contact and the second highest flyball rate of any pitcher on the slate. Merrifield and the Royals get a mediocre lefty Irvin who is making his big league debut. Merrifield is killing lefties this season, though I would be hesitant to load up on KC where they have yet to have seen this pitcher.

3rd Base:
Bregman
Dozier
* Moncada (also don’t mind Carpenter if you’re on DK)

Shortstop:
Bogaerts
Correa
*No one that I really love in this range

Outfield (6 for good measure):
Springer
Martinez
Ozuna
Cruz
*Polanco

Other positional value below 3K: Gurriel, A Diaz, Y Alonso, Pearce, Nunez, Healy, M Gonzalez, Moran, Tucker, Adrianza, L Garcia, Reddick, Bruce, Reynolds, Tilson,

Top Team Stacks (both sites):

Hou (Correa/Springer/Bregman/Brantley)

Boston (JD/Bogaerts/Chavis)

Minnesota (Cron/Cruz/M Gonzalez/Polanco)

Boom-or-Bust Under The Radar Stack(s):

Pitt (Bell/Polanco/Frazier/M Cabrera)

Stl (Ozuna/Goldy/Dejong/Bader)

 

As always, remember to make sure these players are indeed in the lineup and that weather is okay. Don’t forget that baseball is by far the highest variance sport but by truly digging in to the numbers and turning over every stone, we can mitigate that variance.  Please follow Top Flight Fantasy Sports on Twitter and Facebook if you haven’t already and good luck!

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