Track: Richmond Raceway
Type: Short track
Time: 2:00pm EST on FOX
Keys to this week:
The Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway will have 400 laps making this a decent dominator type race, but that definitely won’t be the only reason for driver selection in this race. You will also want to select drivers from the back that can make some moves and get into the top 5 or 10 to finish this race. To get an idea for how this race could go, we need to look at Martinsville and Phoenix earlier in this season, and also previous track history. Both of those tracks are similar in track type, even though they are both different in length. In those races there wasn’t a ton of drivers passing (leading to a fairly boring race), but some were definitely able to. The plan will be to take a couple drivers starting in the top 6 who can lead some laps, and then take drivers who have good passing ability starting lower so we can take advantage of position differential.
Weather by Chris Rothar
Saturday evening will be mostly cloudy with temperatures in the low 60’s. A passing shower is possible. Heavier rains arrive after midnight. Most of the race should remain dry.
12k+ guys (FD) 10k+ guys (DK), listed in order as I like them.
So if you follow NASCAR at all, you probably know that Busch has 6 wins in Richmond, with 2 of those wins coming here last year. He’s been easily one of the most dominant drivers this season so far, and that looks to continue here this week. Starting in the 5th spot helps him to jump out front and dominate a bunch of laps early, and hopefully a lot of them.
Hamlin has been in great form recently with two 5th place finishes to go along with his win in Texas. He only has one race this season where he finished outside of 10th place. Starting back in 18th will help with the position differential, because I see him moving into the top 5 in this race, and even possibly winning it. He has a win here as well as 4 top 5 finishes in the last 10 races here. His price is amazing on DraftKings at $8900.
Logano has only finished outside of the top 10 once in Richmond in the last 10 races here. Six of those were top 5 finishes. That’s damn good. Joey has had an up and down season so far, but with his course history and starting from the 4th position, I think we can see him fight for dominator points as well as finish in the top 5 again.
More, more more…
I like Harvick here at the pole, because the pole screams “dominator” and I see a top 5 finish for him. 3 wins here, but hasn’t had one in his last 12 races in Richmond.
I also think that Truex is a great GPP play in this race, as I think his form this season will throw people off him – he’s high risk, high reward, but starting in that top 6 spot I like in this race..
8-12k guys (FD) / 7-10k guys (DK), listed in order as I like them.
Larson is another driver that has a great history in Richmond, with a win and two top 10 finishes in his last 3 races here. in the limited practice here he was the fastest driver on the track, and starting from the 14th spot makes me think he can move up to the top 5 if he drives like he has here in the past. Larson started 31st in Phoenix and made his way to a 6th place finish in that race.
Blaney will have his work cut out for him if he wants to win this race since he will be starting 29th, but he was able to work his way up from 17th to 4th in Martinsville a couple weeks back. I know his track history here isn’t good, but I think he understands how to drive well with this package. Winning this race is probably out of the question, but a top 10 finish isn’t and those differential points are going to be big in this race.
Suarez has 2 top 10 finishes and a 12th place finish in 4 Richmond races. When you look at how well he has been driving lately, with three top 10 finished in his last 3 races including Martinsville, he’s hard to pass up at his price. Starting in 9th means that he won’t get you a ton of differential points, but if he can sneak into the top 5, those points are enough to make him worth it at his price.
Your low – mid tier priced players on both sites, listed in order as I like them. Use as needed.
MDB has been driving better this season that last season, and a lot of that has to do with having better equipment than last year. I see this as being one of those races similar to last week, where he can make moves to get into the top 15.
Dillon has been racing well on these flatter tracks this season, finishing 15th in Phoenix and 13th in Martinsville. With him starting back in 30th, I think that a top 15 finish is definitely possible. I think he’s as low as I am looking to spend on Fanduel this week.
The Yellow Flags
These are your deep punts – use with caution! They will help you fit the high priced drivers, but may not do much more. There should be no need to use any of these guys on FanDuel.
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